The interim government has failed to broaden the tax base, with the number of income tax return filers shrinking 35% to just under 3.9 million compared to last year, amid challenges to achieve monthly tax collection targets—Income tax filers drop by 35%, The Express Tribune, March 1, 2024
The data of the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) showed that the total persons registered for sales tax are 312,800 and persons who filed sales tax returns are 189,700, reflecting a compliance level of 61 percent. Out of these who filed sales tax returns, “null filers” stood at 59,800. The number of “Nil “filers stood at 89,900. The sales taxpayers, who filed returns with payment amounted to 41,000—Almost Half of Sales Tax Registered Taxpayers Paying Zero Sales Tax, ProPakistani, March 6, 2023
The FBR is one of the most dysfunctional official entities in Pakistan. The past few years have been witness to the worst performance by the agency on all fronts—revenue collection, issuance of due refunds, plugging of leakages, widening of the tax base, recovery of current and arrear demands, voluntary compliance, reform process, countering corruption and tax evasion. The performance in each of these areas has been dismal. Despite the FBR’s pathetic performance, finance ministers from successive regimes, civil and military alike, have been eulogizing the FBR to beg for more money from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and others!
According to a news report, the total number of individuals, association of persons (AOPs) and companies registered with the FBR are 11 million. However, the total returns filed until March 1, 2024, for tax year 2023, were 3,350,000. The pitiable compliance rate of 30% speaks volumes about the efficacy of the apex revenue authority of Pakistan—it has wasted millions on advertisements in print and electronic media for reminding citizens and organizations to discharge their obligation of filing income tax returns.
It is worth noting that active income taxpayers on FBR’s Active Taxpayer List (ATL) in 2022 were 5,730,000, whereas in 2023, this number dropped to 3,350,000. Of those who filed returns in 2023, new filers only made up 840,000. The following message on FBR’s website about ATL confirms the level of deterioration, as the authorities even failed to update the text inserted in 2021:
“ATL is published every financial year on the 1st March and is valid up to the last day of February of the next financial year. For example, Active Taxpayer List for Tax year 2020 was published on 1st March 2021 and will be valid till 28th February 2022. Similarly, Active Taxpayer List for Tax year 2021 will be published on 1st March 2022 and will be valid till 28th February 2023. The ATL is updated on every Monday on the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) website.”
The FBR’s performance over the years has been pathetically abysmal despite resorting to enormous withholding taxes and all kinds of highhandedness—the tax-to-GDP ratio decreased from 10.3% in 2021 to 8.5% in 2023. The FBR is overwhelmingly thriving on withholding taxes, advance tax, and voluntary payments with returns—constituting over 95% of total gross income collection - Rs. 3086 billion in fiscal year 2022-23 as per data provided in Year Book 2022-23 by Revenue Division of Finance, Government of Pakistan. The contribution of field officers, through collection on demand (Rs 141.44 billion) and arrears (Rs.2.86 billion), through investigation or audit by way of tax or penalty was just Rs. 144 billion, 4.67 percent of total income tax collection in fiscal year 2022-23.
The government, especially the state’s Revenuecracy, portray Pakistanis before the IMF and other lenders and donors, as a nation of tax cheats.
The above figures prove beyond any doubt how unproductive the FBR is. The crumbling, inefficient and corrupt tax apparatus is the root cause of the present fiscal mess the nation finds itself in. Officials persistently squeeze and penalize existing taxpayers on the one hand, but on the other, join hands with and protect big tax evaders, for example, massive over and under invoicing is not possible without their criminal culpability. Small business houses, already heavily taxed through the withholding tax mechanism, are victims of their highhandedness. It is time to establish National Tax Authority—the details for which have been proposed earlier on these pages.
Financial wizards and tax managers sitting in the Ministry of Finance and FBR have been persistently claiming that the tax base of Pakistan is disappointingly narrow and that the majority of people do not pay income tax. Actually, the reality is the opposite. The poor people of Pakistan are one of the most heavily taxed in the entire Asian continent. As far as the tax base is concerned, not only the total taxable population, but also millions of those having below taxable incomes are paying taxes at source or through voluntary filing of returns. In most of the cases, tax deducted at source is the full and final discharge of liability. For example, 40 million are paying 15% tax at source on profit (interest income) on bank accounts and non-filers at the rate of 30%. Since majority of these do not file income tax returns required under section 114 of the Income Tax Ordinance, 2001, a wrong impression emerges that that our income tax base is narrow.
The government, especially the state’s Revenuecracy, portray Pakistanis before the IMF and other lenders and donors, as a nation of tax cheats. It is true that in 2023, new income tax filers were only 840,000, but advance income tax payers, through the withholding regime were 120 million unique mobile users, 60 commercial and industrial electricity consumers and 40 million earning interest on bank deposits.
The real dilemma of the FBR is that it has failed to force the rich and mighty to file returns, which proves beyond any doubt its incompetence and inefficiency.
According to Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA), the total mobile cellular subscribers as on January 31, 2024 were 190 million (79.11% mobile teledensity). 129 million were broadband users (53.57% mobile broadband penetration), 3 million basic telephony users (1.07 fixed teledensity) and 132 million broadband subscribers (54.97% broadband penetration). Not less than 120 million unique mobile users (many having more than one SIM) have been paying advance and adjustable income tax of 15% with effect from January 15, 2022, imposed through Finance (Supplementary) Act, 2022.
The total population of Pakistan as per the latest census of 2023 was 241.49 million. The current population is 243,726,430, according to online data. Based on the census results of 2023, the proportion of the country’s population in the 15-64 years age group is 59%. The employment rate, according to official sources, is 47.9%. Thus, the total employed population is around 62 million (a very conservative estimate). However, the existing individual income tax return filers as per FBR’s Active Taxpayers List (ATL) as on March 4, 2024 were 2,066,156 and others (companies, firms and AOPs etc.) were 1,281,874 (for a total of 3,348,031). Among these “filers,” over seventy percent have showed below taxable incomes or losses.
Pakistan’s tax potential at the federal level alone is Rs. 20 trillion and if we take the informal economy into account, it is projected at Rs. 34 trillion, which is 16% of GDP.
While the number of individual income tax filers is pathetically low, the entire taxable population and even those having no income or income below taxable limit are paying advance and adjustable income tax at source as mobile users. If they all file income tax returns, there will be refund payable to at least 90 million having no income or income below taxable limit though cost to claim would be much higher than amount withheld.
According to a news report, the FBR in February 2024 faced a huge reduction “in the number of filers across all four categories: companies, associations of persons, business individuals, and the salaried class.” The major reduction in the number of filers, report reveals, was “in the case of business individuals, as about 1.6 million or 43% fewer persons filed their income tax returns this year.” In the last tax year, about 3.8 million business individuals filed returns, which have now shrunk to 2.2 million. This year, the report claims, “about 22% or 435,000 fewer salaried persons filed their returns…” As against “nearly 2 million salaried persons who filed returns last year, only 1.55 submitted their annual statements of wealth and income this year,” it further revealed.
The real dilemma of the FBR is that it has failed to force the rich and mighty to file returns, which proves beyond any doubt its incompetence and inefficiency. Shahid Javed Burki, in Provincial Rights and Responsibilities opined, “About 40 million out of 170 million people in Pakistan have now succeeded in keeping their living standards from falling. Of these, about 15 million have improved their economic situation in spite of the sluggish economy.” This figure must have doubled until 2023, but the FBR is not able to tax these rich 30 million resident Pakistanis according to their ability to pay.
In fiscal year 2022-23, collection of sales tax by the FBR was Rs. 2,591 billion, whereas the actual potential is not less than Rs. 7 trillion.
Pakistan’s tax potential at the federal level alone is Rs. 20 trillion and if we take the informal economy into account, it is projected at Rs. 34 trillion, which is 16% of GDP. Out of a total employed population of 60 million as per official figures, around 10% [6 million] have income exceeding Rs. 800,000 and 25% [15 million] between Rs. 600,000 and 700,000, and the rest below taxable limit (Rs. 600,000). Applying existing tax rates to 21 million potential taxpayers, the figure comes out to Rs. 7 trillion. At present, out of total registered companies, sixty percent are not filing income tax returns. Assuming average tax of Rs. 5 million per company, tax potential comes to Rs. 3000 billion. Collection of income tax by FBR in fiscal year 2022-23 was Rs. 3086 billion (companies, individuals, firms and AOPs) making total income tax potential alone not less than Rs. 11 trillion.
In fiscal year 2022-23, collection of sales tax by the FBR was Rs. 2,591 billion, whereas the actual potential is not less than Rs. 7 trillion. Similarly, the potential of Customs Duty (using the 5% rate on a US$ 100 billion base could fetch Rs. 1300 billion). Federal Excise Duty (FED), even if kept at the current position can fetch Rs. 700 billion. In fiscal year 2022-23, FBR collected Rs 370 billion under FED and Rs. 932 billion under custom duties, whereas original targets were Rs. 402 and Rs. 953 billion respectively.
Successive governments in Pakistan have failed to fulfill even their basic obligation of safeguarding the life and property of people, what to talk of providing basic facilities like health, education, water and civic amenities. It is high time that an autonomous, dynamic, federalised National Tax Agency replaces the FBR, with a simple tax regime applicable across the country—it would not only increase collection, but also relieve people of an oppressive tax machinery.